{"links":{"self":"http://dataportal.arc.gov.au/NCGP/API/grants/DE260100653"},"data":{"type":"grant-details","id":"DE260100653","attributes":{"code":"DE260100653","administering-organisation":"The University of New South Wales","announcement-administering-organisation":"The University of New South Wales","scheme-name":"Discovery Early Career Researcher Award","grant-status":"Active","funding-commencement-year":2026,"years-funded":3,"project-start-date":"2026-01-01","anticipated-end-date":"2028-12-31","grant-summary":"Understanding and managing uncertainty. People’s capacity to differentiate between unknown and known sources of uncertainty – such as between natural variations in day-to-day temperatures and the effects of climate change – is essential in dealing with many of today’s greatest challenges. This project aims to understand the role that explanations play in how people understand and manage uncertainties in their everyday lives. Using state-of-the-art psychological theoretical, empirical, and modelling tools, the project is expected to generate new knowledge on the psychological processes that underpin the way people think about and make choices under uncertainty, and consequently, on the potential ways in which their decisions can be improved.","funding-current":454449.00,"funding-at-announcement":450849,"investigators-current":[{"title":"Dr","firstName":"Aba","familyName":"Szollosi","roleName":"Discovery Early Career Researcher Award","roleCode":"DECRA","isFellowship":true,"orcidIdentifier":"0000-0003-3457-542X "}],"investigators-at-announcement":[{"title":"Dr","firstName":"Aba","familyName":"Szollosi","roleName":"Discovery Early Career Researcher Award","roleCode":"DECRA","isFellowship":true,"orcidIdentifier":"0000-0003-3457-542X "}],"organisations-current":[{"organisationName":"The University of New South Wales","roleName":"Administering Organisation","state":"NSW"}],"organisations-at-announcement":[{"organisationName":"The University of New South Wales","roleName":"Administering Organisation","state":"NSW"}],"field-of-research":[{"isPrimary":true,"code":"5204","name":"Cognitive and Computational Psychology","type":"FOR20"},{"isPrimary":false,"code":"520401","name":"Cognition","type":"FOR20"},{"isPrimary":false,"code":"520402","name":"Decision Making","type":"FOR20"}],"socio-economic-objective":[{"code":"280121","name":"Expanding Knowledge In Psychology","type":"SEO20"}],"international-collaboration":["England","Germany","Scotland","United States of America"],"lief-register":[],"achievement-summary":null,"national-interest-test-statement":"How people understand uncertainty in their everyday experiences – whether they explain the variability in day-to-day temperatures, or in the value of superannuation investments, or in the severity of the symptoms of an infection in different people, as the result of random variation or the consequence of climate change, economic slowdown, or vaccines – determines the course of action they take to manage potential negative outcomes. Appropriate understanding and management of such uncertainties is essential to deal with many of today’s greatest challenges facing Australians, from responding to the effects of climate change, to making financial decisions, to dealing with pandemics. This project aims to understand how people explain uncertainty in their experiences and how they make choices to manage its potential negative outcomes. Addressing this knowledge gap can help us understand why people might underinvest in mitigating the risks resulting from climate change, avoid getting vaccinated or follow public health guidance during a pandemic, or undersave for retirement – and so benefits Australians by suggesting potential ways in which their decisions can be improved. To maximise the impact of this research, the findings will be disseminated to policymakers and industry professionals to assist the development of practical tools that people can use to make better choices."}}}